RARE (1)

UNLIKELY (2)

POSSIBLE (3)

LIKELY (4)

ALMOST CERTAIN (5)

<10% chance of occurrence. 

10% up to 35% chance of occurrence. 

35% up to 65% chance of occurrence. Has not 
happened in the organization, but occurs in the 
Industry.

65% up to 90% chance of occurrence. Has happened in 
the organization or occurs frequently in the Industry.

90% or greater chance of certain occurrence. 

NEGLIBIBLE (1)

MINOR (2)

MODERATE (3)

MAJOR (4)

SEVERE (5)

Little impact on facilities/systems (less than a 24 hour 
interruption) on non-critical infrastructure. No effect 
on staff/students. Small group impacted for a short 
amount of time.

Little impact on facilities/systems (less than a 24 hour 
interruption) or staff/students (less than 10% 
impacted). Small group impacted for a short amount of 
time.

Localized or campus wide facilities/systems failure for 
more than 24 hours and less than one month or less 
than 30 percent of staff/students impacted. Many 
groups impacted for less than a month, but impacts to 
academic programming easily addressed.

Localized or campus wide facilities/systems failure for 
more than 24 hours and less than one month or less 
than 30 percent of staff/students impacted. Many 
groups impacted for less than a month, including 
impacts to academic programming.

Facilities/systems failure of more than one semester or 
30 percent of staff/students impacted. Campus wide 
impact for more than a semester. Significant impacts to 
academic calendar.

Stakeholders: 1-2 Stakeholders are Negatively 
impacted; Media: Brief negative attention in 
local/traditional/ social media. No provincial, national 
or international coverage; Complexity: Low – Problem 
is easily addressed. Agreement is reached with all 
stakeholders.

Stakeholders: 1-2 Stakeholders are Negatively 
impacted; Media: Extended coverage in local and/or 
social media; Complexity: Mildly more complex but still 
resolved with all stakeholders.

Stakeholders: 3-4 Stakeholders are Negatively 
impacted; Media: Limited attention in provincial, 
national or international media but substantial 
negative attention in local media.; Complexity: Problem 
can be addressed with the majority of stakeholders 
being satisfied.

Stakeholders: 3-4 Stakeholders are Negatively 
impacted; Media: Brief negative attention in provincial, 
national and/or international media and substantial 
negative attention in local media. Once resolved media 
attention may be prolonged or recurring; Complexity: 
Problem can be addressed sufficiently enough to satisfy 
stakeholders following prolonged intervention.

Stakeholders: 4-5 Stakeholders are Negatively 
impacted; Media: Prolonged, intense negative 
attention in national, international, an/or local media; 
Complexity: High – a wicked problem in which there is 
no defined easy answer and it is not possible to 
appease all stakeholders.

Less than 0.1% of the total MRU's budgeted 
expenditure - < $250,000.

More than 0.1% but less than 0.5% of the total MRU's 
budgeted expenditure - > $250,000 but < $1,250,000.

More than 0.5% but less than 1% of the total MRU's 
budgeted expenditure - > $1,250,000 but < $2,500,000.

More than 1% but less than 3% of the total MRU's 
budgeted expenditure - > $2,500,000 but < $7,500,000.

More than 3% of the total MRU's budgeted 
expenditure - > $7,500,000.

No worker injuries or public health issues; Negligible 
effect on staff resources or morale.

No worker injuries or public health issues; Limited 
effect on staff resources or morale.

Medical Emergency treatable with First Aid;
Public/employee health & safety perceived risk; Some 
effect to staff resources or employee morale.

Medical Emergency;
Public/employee health & safety could be jeopardized; 
Noticeable effect on staff resources or morale.

Staff/student fatality;
Public/employee health & safety jeopardized; Staff 
resources or morale severely impacted.

Environmental issue contained to a limited portion of 
the campus.

Environmental issue contained to the whole campus.

Environmental issue not contained or potential to 
extend beyond campus.

Environmental issue not contained, and extends 
beyond campus.

Environmental issue not contained, potential for, or is, 
impacting water or sensitive terrain.

Negligible impact to confidentiality, integrity and/or 
availability of data.

Low impact to confidentiality, integrity and/or 
availability of data.

Moderate impact to confidentiality, integrity and/or 
availability of data.

High impact to confidentiality, integrity and/or 
availability of data.

Severe impact to confidentiality, integrity and/or 
availability of data.

Failure or delay in meeting a strategic objective with 
inconsequential impact.

Failure or delay in meeting a strategic objective with 
limited impact to one Department/Faculty.

Failure or delay in meeting a strategic objective with 
impact to one Department/Faculty.

Failure or delay in meeting a strategic objective with 
impact to several Departments/Faculties.

Failure or delay in meeting a strategic objective with 
impacts across the Institution.

ENVIRONMENTAL

DATA AND PRIVACY

STRATEGIC

Likelihood Rating

Impact Rating

OPERATIONAL

REPUTATIONAL

FINANCIAL

HEALTH AND SAFETY